|
When will the Singularity happen? |
|
| What is your best guess on the timeline to the Singularity? |
| |
| before 2010 | 0.02 |  (0.02%) |
| 2010-2020 | 56.75 | (59.76%) |
| 2020-2050 | 27.48 | (28.94%) |
| 2050-2100 | 2.78 | (2.93%) |
| after 2100 | 5.07 | (5.34%) |
| never | 2.86 | (3.01%) |
|
| decisiveness | | (29.27%) |
| unvoted equity | | (5.01%) |
| voted equity | | (94.99%) |
|
| 57 Voters: Kalkor, David Lucifer, rhinoceros, Sat, Cassidy McGurk, Walter Watts, Ophis, Kid-A, Hermit, Lukian The Wizard, Drakeo Vortex, referent, prometheus, celindra, MoEnzyme, nrv8, outlawpoet, Blunderov, goomba, JerryLee, ElvenSage, Feagwath, Hermitess, Rhysenn, DrSebby, RavenBlack, Matt Arnold, the.bricoleur, Warlock, Smucker, RenegadeSocial, alahzred, Kharin, Mermaid, opsima, Casey, michelle, simul, Aryn Ravenlocke, atra, metahuman, Galt, Flux, Gunit, Nikolai, Joe Dees, DJ dAndroid, Heretician, Alex Future Bokov, chippedlogic, Pabreetzio, pickler, archangelsin, falcox, ifort, teh, Bohandez, |
| voter | voted for | comment |
| Mermaid | private | no comment |
| opsima | private | no comment |
| Casey | 2020-2050
| no comment |
| michelle | never
| no comment |
| Lukian The Wizard | 2010-2020
| no comment |
| simul | never
| Perhaps a "singularity" is avoidable though the efforts of superintelligent beings? Distributed systems, after all, are more powerful than centralized ones. Otherwise we'd all be massive single-celled organisms. |
| Aryn Ravenlocke | private | no comment |
| atra | private | no comment |
| metahuman | private | no comment |
| Galt | 2050-2100
| no comment |
| Flux | 2020-2050
| no comment |
| Gunit | abstained | Leave this one up to Stephen. |
| Nikolai | private | no comment |
| Matt Arnold | 2020-2050
| no comment |
| Joe Dees | after 2100
| no comment |
| Drakeo Vortex | private | no comment |
| DJ dAndroid | 2020-2050
| no comment |
| Heretician | private | no comment |
| MoEnzyme | never
| no comment |
| Alex Future Bokov | 2050-2100
| Singularity is what happens so far in the future there's no point in guessing. For me it's always been 50 years, and that's where it will stay for another five decades or so. |
| chippedlogic | before 2010
| who is to say there currently is none? |
| Pabreetzio | never
| no comment |
| Hermit | 2010-2020
| If moore's law still holds and some idiot doesn't blow us up first, it is likely anytime from 2007 onwards. |
| pickler | private | no comment |
| archangelsin | after 2100
| no comment |
| falcox | 2010-2020
| I'm sure its coming soon, not sure that it's a good idea however. |
| ifort | 2020-2050
| no comment |
| teh | 2050-2100
| no comment |
| Bohandez | 2050-2100
| no comment |
|
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