From: Jkr438@aol.com
Date: Fri Sep 13 2002 - 17:52:35 MDT
On 13 Sep 2002 at 18:27, Jkr438@aol.com wrote:
> 
> [GWB] The first time we may be completely certain he has a -- nuclear
> weapons is when, God forbids, he uses one. 
> 
> [Jake] Probably not true. I am guessing that as soon as he has two he
> will test one for everyone to see. 
>
[Joe] But if he develops one or more, and keeps them secret, he can have 
one or more transported, by his own agents or those of Al Quaeda or 
another terrorist organization, into the midst of a US or European or 
Israeli city for detonation, and deny responsibility.
[Jake] You seem to be assuming that Saddam will take a path that will lead to 
more complications for him rather than fewer.
[Jake] I doubt Saddam will be sharing any of this nuclear material with 
anyone.  I think the chances are much more likely that Al Queda would have 
better odds of getting its nuclear material from other already existing 
stockpiles through religiously induced lapses of competence.  Saddam on the 
other hand surely must know that what ever doesn't get blown up in 
America/Britain/Israel, will likely end up pointed right back at him.
[Joe]  A 60 Minutes 
program just last night demonstrated how easy it would be to 
undetectedly transport 15kg of fissile uranium from that region into the 
heart of New York City.  The bomb components could be shipped 
separately, and the device assembled onsite.
We just cannot risk it.
[Jake] You must forgive me if I don't respond favorably to "A 60 Minutes 
program" you saw last night.  However, in the latest atmosphere on this list, 
it wouldn't shock me if more humans would respond more favorably to that 
program than to the rantings of this . . . urinal . . . for lack of a better 
descriptive word at the moment.  And no, this is not a request for better 
referencing of this latest piece of TV programming, or even a request for 
THAT programs references.
[Jake] Anyway, I'm still sticking with the "he tests one for the history 
books." theory.  Either scenario probably doesn't make a lot of difference, 
but I assume whoever is programming GWB probably wants to make all future 
scenarios to seem as frightening as possible, and that would be the "he 
surprises the fuck out of everyone by bombing Israel, not just once, but with 
twenty nukes, and forty more at the US (most of which would probably fall in 
the Atlantic)" with no preliminary nuke testing like all other 'civilized' 
nuclear powers.
[Jake] I'm betting that evil just ain't all that glamorous and unpredictable 
this time 'round.  In any case, I really would not bet that he is going to 
get all teary-eyed about the greater Muslim Jihad against the Great Satan 
enough to actually share nuclear technology/resources.
>
> Love, 
> 
> -Jake
Love,
(once again)
-Jake
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