From: joedees@bellsouth.net
Date: Wed Jul 10 2002 - 23:21:31 MDT
On 10 Jul 2002 at 23:20, joedees@bellsouth.net wrote:
I am flattered to have several of my works included in the "best of virus" 
archives, and at the same time conceited enough to wonder why the 
following essay was not included there.
A Short Philosophy of History 
By Joe E, Dees 
I. An Improved Theory of the Past 
There are many existing philosophies of history, and each has its own 
elements of truth, insofar as they authentically explicate an 
understanding of past events and the reasons for them. However, either 
by not following through with their premises to deduceable conclusions 
or by actual error in such an attempt, all of them are in some respects     
incomplete. This, of course, is a reason for their multiplicity and 
diversity. The theory to be expounded here is to the greater degree a 
decanting of the elements of each which, from our present perspective, 
can be said to possess some validity. To a lesser degree, it draws from 
the synthesis of these elements further conclusions as to both a 
structure which may be consistently applied to history, and both 
empirical observations and logical deductions which lend support to its 
perceptual soundness and conceptual validity. 
     Before we proceed any further, a disclaimer must be made. In no 
manner do we intend this theory to be construed as either final or 
complete. The evolution of historical conceptions is a staircase of 
successively more broad and profound conjectures which shall 
only end with the end of humanity when this unfortunate yet eventually 
inevitable event occurs. This theory only proposes to be another step; 
another synthesis of preceding views which itself is destined to be 
subsumed by a more inclusive view. In addition, any theory, by the very 
definition of the term, is necessarily restricted to the realm of probability; 
any theory asserted absolutely is irretrievably mired in self-contradiction. 
This is true of any theory; however it is doubly true of any historical 
theory; it is impossible to either fully recapture the significance of the 
past as it appeared as a present, or to a priori apprehend and interpret 
as yet nonexistent future events. Even dealing solely with a hypothetical 
"present", it is practically impossible to empirically verify all logical 
consequences of any given theory, including a theory of history. 
With these necessary limitations firmly in mind, we shall attempt our 
synthesis... 
     What, however, is a philosophy of history, or to put it more succinctly, 
what are we here attempting to do? Any philosophy is a theory; a theory 
seeks to discern patterns and regularities within its object (or subject) of 
perusal. History itself is a succession of more or less purposeful actions 
or events occurring within the experiential realm of a perpetually 
changing cast of human agents of change. For example: the view that 
God moves history with an "invisible Hand" is empirically unfounded; 
otherwise, the hand would have to be visible to the theorizer, and this is 
self-contradictory. However, no one can reasonably deny that the idea of 
God in the minds of human agents has had a profound effect upon the 
evolutionary direction of events. Thus a philosophy of history seeks to 
discern regularities within this perceived temporal succession, as a 
philosophy of personhood seeks such regularities within the individual, a 
philosophy of the perceived world seekssuch regularities within the 
universe, etc. In addition, a philosophy seeks logically coherent reasons 
for such patterns as may be discerned, and a philosophy of history is no 
exception. 
II. The Synthesis 
Spengler is correct (as were his predecessors) concerning the 
multicyclical nature of cultural rise and fall; he was incorrect in 
his assertion that nothing passes on from fallen cultures to succeeding 
ones, and Toynbee corrects this error. Neither of them noted, however, 
the combination of successively greater pinnacles of achievement and 
successively shorter spans of duration to be found within temporally 
successive cultures. Cultures do fall, but not to the point that nothing is 
left (that possibility is uniquely ours); however, neither do they advance 
unimpeded. The actual progression is somewhere in between. Toynbee 
did not realize the true force of Spengler's (and Sorokin's) raison d'etre 
for the falls. For both of them, the denigration of the unifying cultural 
belief in the face of the counterexample of knowledge fragments the 
culture. This contention, synthesized with Toynbee's position that each 
succeeding culture begins with both more breadth of knowledge and 
more depth of same than its predecessors, suggests that within each 
succeeding culture the advance of knowledge to a position contradicting 
belief is accomplished in a shorter time span. Therefore, although 
greater syntheses are produced by succeeding cultures, they also suffer 
successively shorter life spans. We called these (at first) dolphin 
oscillations; we now tend to call them pre-adolescent culture traumas. 
We state that the anthropomorphization of a cultural identity is both 
useful and veridical, because cultures are collections of people sharing 
common ground perspectives. We then explore the parallels between 
the infancy of a culture and the infancy of a composite human, a la 
Piaget. Piaget states that the infant is egocentric and mentally matures 
in the direction of socialized thought. The infant early on believes in a 
magical and animistic lived world of relatively small dimensions which is 
directed towards the fulfillment of childish needs and desires. This is not 
a conception; the child actually perceives the world in this way. All things 
seen together are connected by syncretistic logic “ this is known as 
assimilation. The world is juxtaposed by means of this assimilation, 
which follows the rule of "intellectual realism"; the world "is" as the child 
believes because it "must be", and this world-view colors the child's 
perceptions to agree. The sun and moon follow the child around, the 
road rises to meet him/her, the birds sing because the child is present to 
hear, the scent of the flowers is tailored to please, and all of this is 
managed by a noncognitive, magical and mystical animism whose only 
reason for being is to please the child. As the child matures, this magic 
fades. When the child must interact with others, the necessity for 
developing both concepts by which to communicate and consistent logic 
with which to persuade progressively manifests. The child is no longer 
the absolute; his/her position must be justified to the other. De-centering 
occurs. The sun and moon follow others also, therefore they follow no 
one; the road stays put, the birds sing and the flowers bloom for 
everyone to see and hear and smell. In short, experience is present at 
hand to be taken up by all and is no longer directed exclusively towards 
the now maturing person. The living presence fades from perception as 
the child's world-view is socialized. It must therefore (for the child) be 
culturally preserved. 
     In the same manner, a culture is primordially egocentric and believes 
that the universe is somehow magically ordered for its benefit. Such 
beliefs are, to some degree, necessary for the perpetuation of the  
culture, but many are not sufficient.  This is why many cultures die a-
borning for lack of the belief's production of the Camusian byproducts of 
human dignity, industry and community. These cultures which survive      
their birth, however, eventually come into contact with "other" cultures. 
Whether they subsume, are subsumed by, or coexist with the other(s), 
intercultural socialization begins. This process results in the realization 
that the belief system is not a given, but must be justified in relation to 
alternative beliefs which perform the same perpetuating functions for 
their cultures. (In the same manner, "laws" of quantum mechanics 
mutually justify each other without any one of them occupying a central 
or fundamental position.) Also, such belief systems and their empirically 
testable consequences must agree with the ever-expanding 
perceptions of the world. This imperative is akin to both Kant's dictum 
that concepts must be grounded in percepts, and Merleau-Ponty's view 
of reality as inter-subjective. Together, these two necessities provoke the 
evolution of the bridge between individual and societal perceptions. The 
foregoing also explains both T. S. Eliot's observation that culture and 
religion are symbiotic and Toynbee's contention that advancing cultures 
are accompanied by successively more complex belief systems, this last 
to accommodate successively more inclusive and detailed perceptions. 
     However, the belief system ultimately fails, because of both its 
absolutist dogmatism and the inherent inability of animistic-mystical 
belief systems to keep pace with demythologizing explanations proferred 
by the dialectic of scientific progress and technical advances.  In other 
words, the expansion of scientific knowledge and technical efficacy 
within a culture proceed according to an involution-evolution multicycle 
model of periodicity 2.  Models to account for reality first expand to cover 
the range of our perceptions; they then concentrate upon details.  
However, the greater mastery of the material world that efficacious 
models allows permits the technological augmentation of perceptions 
and actions, which, when applied to scientific experimentation, leads to 
the arising of perceptions that cannot be accounted for within the 
axiomatic systems used to construct the models.  A paradigmatic 
advance is then made which, while accounting for the stubborn 
perceptions, expands our experimental range beyond its original range, 
allowing new stobborn perceptions to arise, while the previous models 
are subsumed as special cases, and the process repeats.
     According to Stephen Pepper, animistic world hypotheses fail due to 
inadequate precision (common-sense fails). They tend to 
anthropomorphize magical presence into authoritarian spirit, which is 
crystallized into infallible, but, alas, all-too-fallible, authority. This 
authority breaks down under successively more central, supportable and 
precise criticism. Also, mystical world hypotheses fail due to a lack of 
scope. Their view originates with the acceptance of a "central fact". The 
entire universe is interpreted, whether it fits or not, as absorbed within 
this "fact". Where this absorption is implausible, the offending 
contradictory observations are denounced as unreal. The adherents of 
such "facts" are emotional and reductionistic. They believe themselves 
to be the vessels through which the "true fact" must be promulgated 
according to a dogma of certainty. 
     Both "certainty" and "infallibility" are illusions produced by inadequate 
world-views. What opposes them is useful truth. The pragmatists argue 
that the a priori of truth is utility and the existentialists argue that the a 
priori of utility is truth. The precedence chosen depends upon the 
referential frame of the chooser, and we tend to view truth and utility as 
co-primordial, symbiotic and mutually grounding. However, when useful 
truth unmasks by counterexample of the world hypotheses' conclusions 
the fallibility and uncertainty of their premises, these premises inevitably 
crumble. Our beliefs have, for better or worse, chosen us long enough; it 
is now time to reasonably choose our beliefs to avoid such contradiction. 
Culture has never matured (except for the perceptual side in the Orient) 
before in world history; we can end all hope of its maturation in the future 
or ourselves be the first culture which successfully matures.
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